Arizona Democrats are in serious danger, a prospect that is sure to evaporate the party’s gains in the state over the past four years.
Obama’s dismal 40 percent Arizona approval rating isn’t helping, a number traced in part to the administration’s decision to sue the state over its controversial immigration law.
The DCCC has significantly scaled back its TV advertising time for Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick, a disconnected freshman waging an uphill bid to retain a conservative-minded, northern Arizona-based seat, where Dr. Paul Gosar is evidencing robust support. The DCCC, meanwhile, is dropping big bucks — more than $800,000 as of Monday afternoon — in an effort to protect sophomore Rep. Harry Mitchell in his difficult rematch against 2008 GOP foe, conservative David Schweikert, according to a POLITICO report aptly titled “Slaughterhouse Five.”
Left-wing groups are also rushing to the aid of Democrat Rep. Raul Grijalva, the fourth-term radically liberal congressman who unexpectedly finds himself in a dogfight against Republican Ruth McClung after urging a boycott of the state over the immigration law. The labor-backed America’s Families First is dumping more than $260,000 in an effort to defend Grijalva against the serious onslaught presented by McClung.
According to the report, Pelosi clone Gabrielle Giffords is listed as only “slightly better positioned to emerge victorious,” noting that her cash reserves, certainly not her liberal voting record, are what she’s counting on as her ace-in-the-hole. They write: Tucson-based Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, who, as of mid-October, held a nearly $1 million cash-on-hand lead over tea-party-backed Republican Jesse Kelly, who knocked off the GOP establishment favorite in the September primary.
We at Seeing Red AZ counter that while its true money is the necessary engine driving the political train, this election season’s enormous reserve of energized voter discontent should not be discounted. Expect to see major changes in Congressional races statewide as a Republican tsunami rushes the shore.