Public Policy Polling has recently released an intriguing survey. In a U.S. Senate race pitting Republican Arizona Congressman Jeff Flake against Democrats — former Surgeon General Richard Carmona and former state Democrat party chair Don Bivens — Flake holds a slim four percentage point (40% -36%) lead over Carmona and bests the virtually unknown Bivens by just ten points (42% -32%).
Political newcomer Wil Cardon, an East Valley Republican businessman, fares surprisingly well in a head-to-head against Carmona, tallying 35% to Carmona’s 33%. At this point in all match-ups, undecideds are still a major factor.
Carmona, who has an interesting background, rising from high school dropout to a medical doctor, served in the George W. Bush administration, perhaps making him more palatable to Republicans. But Carmona later complained the administration muzzled him on his bent toward embryonic stem cell research. “Anything that doesn’t fit into the political appointees’ ideological, theological or political agenda is ignored, marginalized or simply buried,” groused Carmona to a House of Representatives committee.
Arizona Democrats have all but given up on capturing an Arizona Senate seat since it was 1988 the last time one of the political prizes was won.
After nearly 11 years in Congress, and officially in the senate race to replace retiring Sen. Jon Kyl, for the better part of a year, Jeff Flake must be unhappy with the results of this poll. The good news for him is that his numbers are up slightly from the last survey in May.
500 Arizona voters participated in this survey.